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FRANKEN HAS HIGHEST NEGATIVES OF ANY SENATE CANDIDATE IN LATEST POLL; COLEMAN’S APPROVAL RATING UP
By Michael B. Brodkorb | September 11, 2007
Rasmussen Reports has released poll information on the 2008 U.S. Senate race in Minnesota. Franken has the highest negatives of any candidate for the U.S. Senate at 47% statewide. Franken also had highest intensity of negatives, with 31% of saying the had a "very unfavorable" opinion of Franken.
Coleman's approval rating is 54%, up from 51% when they polled in March. Coleman continues to hold a comfortable lead over his both his rivals for the U.S. Senate.
Please check back to Minnesota Democrats Exposed and Blogs for Norm! for more information on this poll.
### This post also appears on Blogs for Norm!, an online community and blog covering the 2008 U.S. Senate campaign in Minnesota. The primary goal of Blogs for Norm! is to organize bloggers who support U.S. Senator Norm Coleman.
Topics: Uncategorized |
September 11th, 2007 at 11:45 am
A four percent lead is not “comfortable”. And Coleman is below 50% in both matchups. That is the sign of an incumbent in trouble.
Your spin is pathetic.
September 11th, 2007 at 12:14 pm
Pathetic is an understatement. Let’s look at the recent polls from Rasmussen and Survey USA:
Coleman–Franken
May 14 Poll: 54-32 Coleman (22 point lead)
July 30 Poll: 49-42 Coleman (7 point lead)
Sept. 6 Poll: 46-41 Coleman (5 point lead)
Coleman–Ciresi
May 14 Poll: 52-29 Coleman (23 point lead)
July 30 Poll: 48-42 Coleman (6 point lead)
Sept. 6 Poll: 46-42 Coleman (4 point lead)
Do we need to draw some line graphs here?
I can only imagine what the headlines would say if the polls had substituted Wes for Norm. Good lord. This is so laughable.
September 11th, 2007 at 12:15 pm
Also, Franken’s unfavorable’s are only ONE POINT higher than Coleman. This is NOT statistically significant. The poll has a margin of error of 4.5%, meaning Coleman’s unfavs could easily 2 or 3 points higher than Franken’s.
Essentially, this poll means that Franken and Coleman’s unfavs are the same.
September 11th, 2007 at 12:20 pm
Michael-
I hate to agree with the DFL on anything but I don’t see a 4-5 point lead as being “comfortable” either.
in fact, it’s a little alarming that Franken polls as well as he does.
September 11th, 2007 at 12:24 pm
[...] UPDATE: MDE is a dork. He’s got this post up saying that FRANKEN HAS HIGHEST NEGATIVES OF ANY SENATE CANDIDATE IN LATEST POLL. Lets look at the numbers: [...]
September 11th, 2007 at 12:29 pm
Eh, it just means that things haven’t changed much in recent years. Coleman won by a small margin. He’ll win again with a small margin.
He only needs a 1 percent lead to win comfortably.
Bottom line is, Minnesotans are generally satisfied with Coleman. The other bottom line is the election is 14 months away… so it doesn’t really matter what these polls say right now. … they’re about as reliable as next months weather forecast… or Al Gore’s climate predictions.
September 11th, 2007 at 12:37 pm
Watching Sen. Coleman on TV, the Homeland Security Pannel. He is smart, articulate and thoughtful. He will be returned to the US Senate.
September 11th, 2007 at 12:49 pm
Let’s do a little more trend analysis on the favorable/unfavorable ratings in the two Rasmussen Reports.
Rasmussen 3/7
Coleman 51% Favorable 42% Unfavorable
Rasmussen 9/6
Coleman 54% Favorable 46% Unfavorable
More people have an opinion of Coleman and his unfavorable number grew more than his favorable number. Nice trend!
Now to Franken—-
Rasmussen 3/7
Franken 39% Favorable 46% Unfavorable
Rasmussen 9/6
Franken 46% Favorable 47% Unfavorable
I love this one. Again, more people have an opinion about Al than they did in March. The unfavorable percentage is virtually unchanged but his favorable rating is up 7%. Mind you, this is during the time period that Ron and Brodkorb have been in full attack mode regarding Al. Keep up the good work guys! The more you tell people about Al, the higher his ratings go!!!!
September 11th, 2007 at 1:31 pm
“The more you tell people about Al, the higher his ratings go!!!!”
This is perhaps, the worst indictment of public education I have ever seen reduced to print.
Trompo (BTW where are Zeppo and Harpo?) indicates that either a) Minnesotan’s are illiterate or b) incredibly stupid.
I can understand where he comes by that opinion if he has limited his social network to leftists, or has decided that the 5th CD is representative of the state, but I have much more faith in my fellow Minnesotan’s.
September 11th, 2007 at 1:40 pm
14 months away. Will Minnesotans rally vote for a D list New York comedy writer and failed political commentator to represent them?
Over the last twenty five years how many votes has Al cast as a Minnesotan?
I still can’t believe anyone seriously considers him.
That’s almost as dumb as someone form New York voting for a person from Arkansas to represent them.
Whoops! Did I stumble onto a common lefty moron theme?
September 11th, 2007 at 2:33 pm
Swiftee,
All I am doing is looking at the numbers and offering an explanation for the trend that appears in the numbers.
If you have an argument to explain the trend in the numbers, feel free to do so.
Question: Why has Al’s favorable numbers gone from 39% in March to 46% in September while his unfavorable numbers remain virtually unchanged?
What is your explanation for that? Ron and Brodkorb have made it their mission to educate Minnesotans about the evils of Al Franken during that time period. We can now see the results.
I suspect that Minnesotans see through the vile crap that Carey and Brodkorb have been putting out and are realizing that Al is a real candidate that has real views on the issues.
Why don’t you stop the ad homs and try to make some real arguments that explain the trend in numbers?
September 11th, 2007 at 2:41 pm
Swiftee needs to pick up a dictionary and look up the word “backfire.” Trompo is 100% correct. Minnesotans are smarter than the Republican PR people think. They know when to reject garbage.
September 11th, 2007 at 2:44 pm
It’s pretty simple Trompo. Al had more opportunity to improve in the positives. And Norm and more opportunity to erode in the negatives.
And it would be more accurate to say: “More people know Norm, and his favorable and unfavorable marks grew at about the same percent.”
Conversely, “More people know Al Franken. He’s improved his favorable marks, but people who are unfavorable to him remain very unfavorable.”
Norm’s 56 percent favorable is pretty comfortable (for the time being). Franken’s 47 percent negatives are not.
It doesn’t really matter though. Al Franken won’t get the nomination. Eventually, he’ll have to actually spend some time in this state (vs. Los Angeles and the Hamptons)… then people will really get to know him… and his negatives will soar.
September 11th, 2007 at 2:51 pm
BTW — what “real views” has Al Franken voiced on the issues. He’s completely ignorant on agriculture, mining and manufacturing issues. He knows nothing of Minnesota’s economics. He’s illustrated no plan on any issue.
Mostly he tells fart jokes and calls people names. When he does say something serious, it’s down right offensive.
Al Franken is a very, very shallow candidate. He has no record of accomplishment, but a pretty lengthy record of failure. He’s also bitter, angry and divisive.
Caviar harvesters have more in common with Minnesotans than Al Franken does. And he’s more likely to consume their products.
September 11th, 2007 at 5:56 pm
Minnesotans don’t really care for Coleman Chestnut, they just might find him slightly more tolerable then Al or Ciresi.
When they take a good look at Coleman’s voting record they won’t be happy with what they find.
September 11th, 2007 at 8:48 pm
When they look at Coleman’s voting record, they’ll find an outstanding Senator who represents their interests and values.
September 12th, 2007 at 3:53 am
Lets see, while I don’t agree with Coleman on everything, I do find him extremely tolerable.
I find Franken extremely intolerable, and Ciresi moderately intolerable.
I’d say that is a pretty big difference.
September 12th, 2007 at 10:46 am
Chestnut, you are aware that this is a blue state, the longest running blue state in fact. This is a state that has the DFL cominating the state legislature and I do mean dominating, 3 out or 4 of the constitutional offices are held by the DFL, one Senate seat is held by the DFL and 5 out of 8 of our House of Rep.’s are DFL. Coleman voting for what Minnesota wants is a crock of shit. If he wanted to represent our state’s values as a whole, he would switch back to the DFL.
This poll is very indicative of Coleman’s challenge on Nov 4th. I think is a horrible idea to throw this out because it is 14 months away. The fact that the election is 14 months and people already are showing a great desire for change speaks volumes to the trouble Coleman is in.
Usually, incumbents do better this far out of the campaign season. Their challengers are not well known, they have much more money, their challengers arent out front and center. Coleman should be leading comfortably this far out but he isnt and if the DFL has made up this much ground since that one poll showing Franken 20% behind Coleman, imagine where the polls will by the time election season rolls around.
Coleman is screwed.
Chestnut, perfect analysis of Franken though,
He really should go back to NYC and let Ciresi finish up the job.
September 13th, 2007 at 10:04 am
[...] In his zest to curry favor (and perhaps a consulting contract) with the Coleman campaign, MDE pumping out some pretty absurd spin about the Rasmussen Poll released the other day. So absurd, in fact, that some of his fellow Republicans aren’t even buying it… Michael- [...]
September 13th, 2007 at 11:39 am
Joe Repya baby, Joe Repya