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CNN FLIPS MINNESOTA FROM LEAN OBAMA TO “TOSS UP”
By Michael B. Brodkorb | September 16, 2008
“(CNN) — As evidence of a tightening presidential race mounts, CNN is altering its Electoral Map, shifting Minnesota and its ten electoral votes from leaning towards Barack Obama to a toss up state.
With the shift of Minnesota, CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 233 electoral votes and John McCain 189. There are 116 electoral votes up for grabs; 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.” Source: CNN, September 15, 2008
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19 Responses to “CNN FLIPS MINNESOTA FROM LEAN OBAMA TO “TOSS UP””
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September 16th, 2008 at 7:09 PM
And it’s not just Minnesota where Obama is faltering.
Obama’s nightmare: Once considered unassailable, New York has narrowed to a potential catastrophe http://tinyurl.com/5fhwk8
Obama is losing Florida. McCain is up by 6 points: http://tinyurl.com/62a4ee
Obama might lose New Jersey. He lost 7 points in past month: http://tinyurl.com/5s64x6
Obama and his anti-gun position can say goodbye to Montana: http://tinyurl.com/5vbrta
September 16th, 2008 at 7:33 PM
It’s no mistake that McCain and Palin are coming here on Friday.
McCain should get all the votes that Bush got in 2004….and reach out to many independents and Democrats (especially in the Iron Range) that would never vote for Bush.
If the race is tied going into election day, most of the undecideds should break for McCain-Palin.
September 16th, 2008 at 7:50 PM
Ohh Noooesss!!!
If only Obama had spent more time courting the German vote, we wouldn’t be in this mess!!!
I mean really…if McCain and Palin decided right about now was a good time to do a tour of the Netherlands…
September 16th, 2008 at 9:00 PM
I think it pre-mature to say that New York is in Play. Rassmussen still has them pretty far apart. But there definitely is a shift in many states that Obama’s mystical judgement did not predict.
September 16th, 2008 at 9:06 PM
Obama 264, McCain 274
September 16th, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Good thing he’s got 57 states to work with.
September 16th, 2008 at 10:12 PM
Ohh Noooessss!!!
The Meltdown Continues
http://flickr.com/photos/jbenson2/2845847071/
September 16th, 2008 at 10:51 PM
i’m not sure i give minnesota to mccain; however, having said that, i am going to my first political event ever (and i’m 62 years old) on friday to the mccain/palin event. have to admit it is because of palin–i wouldn’t leave the house to see mccain.
i really think mccain will take florida, ohio and michigan. not sure about virginia. if he takes florida, ohio and michigan the game is over as mccain can then lose virginia, colorado and new mexico. i wonder with mccain on the ticket if colorado might be in play with the strong gun rights lobby there???
September 16th, 2008 at 11:52 PM
Ansel, there in lies the huge surge for McCain in the polls. There was a campaign event in MS at a 16,000 seat venue and only 3,000 showed up. Why, Palin wasn’t there! Palin added a major kick in the ass to the McCain campaign and now people are excited to vote for him and are being drawn to him.
I’m confident that once Palin gets knocked on her ass by Biden in the debate (again, he joined the Senate when she was EIGHT) and everyone sees through the extreme appeal of Palin (I’ll admit, she appeals to me even though everything she says is completely generic and stupid).
Also, the grassroots organizing that will drive up turnout immensely and help win an election is being done by Obama and not McCain.
Minnesota may end up being a lot closer than what we all thought months ago, but the GOP have certainly been dissapointed here many times before.
September 17th, 2008 at 12:28 AM
Boy Andrew keeping living in that dream world.
The man who tells the man in a wheelchair to stand up or admits that somebody else was more qualified than him to be Vice President is going to win the debate.
Besides a person who has been wrong in the 1980′s let alone the 1990′s, let alone the 2000′s isn’t going to win a game.
You’re in for a big surprise on election day Andrew. Mccain will have the ground game to eat up Obama’s ground game.
Walter Hanson
Minneapolis, MN
September 17th, 2008 at 1:15 AM
i think palin will do fine in debates, although obviously if there is one dubious question that is all the press will focus on. there will be much more scrutiny of her performance than of biden’s, as witnessed by the msm’s almost total lack of coverage of biden’s gaffe’s, and frankly his whole campaign.
the press is still going on about this bush doctrine thing which i thought she handled quite well. i would be more concerned that mccain does not screw up, although the odds are more that bho will screw up unless they let him have a teleprompter with him.
September 17th, 2008 at 6:11 AM
Who cares, neither candidate is for ending the federal income tax, oh well at least I can vote Dean Barkley for US Senate, he is for ending the federal income tax.
September 17th, 2008 at 7:07 AM
The all important Barbara Striesand endorsement has switched from Hillary to “The One”.
September 17th, 2008 at 9:15 AM
Also, nice to see McCain-Palin going to vote-rich Anoka County where the GOP will pick up the open DFL House seat of Scott Kranz (DFL-Blaine) with Tim Sanders. If the DFL thinks that a hooch-smoker by a playground (Shawn Hamlton)is a good candidate, they have another thing coming.
Can you say “sweep” for the GOP, especially in rural Minnesota? Bye, bye Reps. Olin, Lieder, Ward, Doty, Faust, Tscumper, Wallschlager, Fritz, Hosch, Morrow, Brown, Welti and others!
It sounds like the DFL is in a panic at HQ. When will Obama show up in Minnesota?
September 17th, 2008 at 9:29 AM
If McCain wins MN he wins in a landslide. I don’t know- it’s too early- anything could happen, but this is crazy to be tied in a Strib poll.
As far as Palin getting her ass kicked- Dream on! Have you heard Joe Biden talk? He’s going to be up there demonstrating everything he knows about everything and Palin will have a couple one-liners that steal the show. I can’t wait.
As far as not as many people showing up to events-that’s why it’s called the silent majority. We have lifelong Democrats in our family that are voting Palin and I have FIVE liberal girlfriends that are undecided, but still don’t like Obama.
Obama has a HIGHLY organized campaign from the top to the bottom and they’ve had that for 18 months- that is their advantage. They need to turn out that vote. But he’s most certainly losing the middle and undecideds. GOP just needs to hammer home taxes, the War and energy with a tie in to high-paying jobs associated with nuclear and domestic drilling expansion.
There’s no way we should be this close. If the Dems screw this up, I can’t even imagine their wrath.
September 17th, 2008 at 10:53 AM
Palin’s two years of being Governor, much less her six years of being Mayor, will trounce the guy who has repeated one year of experience 35 times over.
September 17th, 2008 at 11:02 AM
I am old enough to have lived through quite a few presidential elections, and I have heard the “he’s got the better ground game, gonna win the GOTV, and oh the best one…He’s got the youth vote” since watching Nixon trounce Mcgovern (who had the youth and anti-war vote)
3 factors really matter. A candidate has to look good, sound good, and have percieved integrity.
Obama looks good, sounds good on a prompter but is unintelligible without one, and has no percived integrity. He tried to co-opt integrity with Biden, not such a great move.
McCain doesn’t look so great, sounds good off prompter but not so much giving a prepared speech, but has integrity by the bucket load. He brought Palin in to look good and sound good, and double down on integrity.
So, final score on the tickets, Look good is a draw, sound good goes to McCain/Palin by 1, and Integrity goes to McCain/Palin times 2. Thus the only way for the Dems to win is to attack Palin’s integrity, which has been backfiring big time.
Of course, the best way to derail Obama’s youth vote would be to say that to vote for Obama, they just need to text the word “vote” to IDOLS 08.
September 17th, 2008 at 3:02 PM
Just the thought of MN being in play renews my faith in my fellow mankind. Maybe the stubborn Minnesota ‘Born Democrat, Die Democrat’ mentality is finally softening.
Obama is waffling all over the place on energy, war, economics…you name it. This has turned into a real race and they don’t know what to do.
Rural guy I pray you are right. Seems like a lot to hope for.
September 18th, 2008 at 1:40 PM
Minnesota is too stupid of a state to vote McCain. In a real state Franken would be polling around 0% and the Vikings wouldn’t make me so mad.