Comments on: 538′S NATE SILVER: THE FORMER DAILY KOS CONTRIBUTOR #1

By: 538â€²S NATE SILVER CHANGES TUNE ON RECOUNT; COLEMAN NOW FAVORED | Minnesota Democrats Exposed

Mon, 01 Dec 2008 16:09:38 +0000

[...] here and here to read my posts exposing Silver’s background and [...]

By: Matthew

Matthew — Tue, 25 Nov 2008 03:44:34 +0000

walter hanson keeps pointing to Silver’s post regarding Coleman challenging more ballots then Franken as a sign that he is bias. The fact is that it was true that Coleman had challenged more ballots at the time Silver posted his comments. This post below shows Silver changing his view when the facts change. Wow, fact based blogging what a concept.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/state-pegs-coleman-lead-at-172-votes.html

By: 538â€²S NATE SILVER: THE FOMER DAILY KOS CONTRIBUTOR #1 & 2 | Minnesota Democrats Exposed

Mon, 24 Nov 2008 15:37:02 +0000

[...] here and here for my posts exposing the background of FiveThirtyEightâ€™s wunderkind Nate [...]

By: 538â€²S NATE SILVER: THE FOMER DAILY KOS CONTRIBUTOR #2 | Minnesota Democrats Exposed

Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:30:53 +0000

[...] I noted in part #1 of my posts, numerous liberal bloggers, including the so-called â€œindependentâ€ media in Minnesota, are [...]

By: Pete F

Pete F — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 03:48:36 +0000

Andrew, if you don’t like it go somewhere else. Leroy is a big boy and can take care of himself. Hey, you aren’t his old roommate are you?

By: Swiftee

Swiftee — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 03:32:25 +0000

Say Andrew?

If you’re looking for a website that is more buggering oriented, I suggest you schlep your worthless, offended ass on over to “MNBLUE”…ask for Cheeto boy.

Tell him Leeeroy sent ya.

HAHAHAHAHAAAaaaa!

By: walter hanson

walter hanson — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 03:01:57 +0000

Hey Andrew:

* Franken has challenged more votes than Coleman. He has that wrong!

* Franken is doing this strategy to create the impression he’s the leader instead of Coleman!

This guy is very stupid in this case!

Walter Hanson

By: Andrew

Andrew — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 00:39:30 +0000

First off, the homophobic remarks are extremely immature and well, offensive. But alas, you’re the party where homophobes and racists reside so not too surprising.

And this post is absolutely ridiculous. Nate Silver’s shit is pretty good. And politics is all intuition, the American public are entirely too hard to read to accurately predict elections, it’s statistics and facts paired with a bit of intuition. Good example of this, all those polls saying Obama is only going to win MN by 2%. Pretty sure all of our intuition said otherwise, and who was right?

By: Swiftee

Swiftee — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 20:19:37 +0000

Say, Leroy? Have you have been irreparibly damaged by those pictures of nekkid women?

Poor, little wombat.

By: Pete F

Pete F — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 19:47:27 +0000

See… An article in Playboy wrote by a US Senate candidate. A link on this blog put there by some redneck (don’t get me wrong – rednecks are good!).

Only in Leroy’s world is that equal.

No go back to Playgirl “Leroy”.

By: Leroy Jenkins

Leroy Jenkins — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 19:12:09 +0000

Amazing how an article in playboy is bad, but a LINK to nudity from a website that chastised said article is fine.

Got to love the malleable ethics of republicans.

By: Pete F

Pete F — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 18:55:51 +0000

From I have heard about “Leroy” he is very opposed to naked women. Or women in general…

By: walter hanson

walter hanson — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 18:50:58 +0000

wow:

I just looked at those day two numbers and Franken has challenged more ballots than Coleman.

furthermore my thought when I heard of the challenge of the obvious Coleman vote was that Franken was trying to keep Coleman’s offical votes down to create the impression that he was in the lead. In part maybe to help him win his ballot challenge.

It seems like everything he wrote was the truth except the negative things apply to Franken not Coleman especially since FRANKEN (at least as of last night) had challenged more ballots than Coleman!

Maybe it’s easy to be accurate when you guessing your dreams which came true on election day but technically I thought there were a lot of places that were predicting an Obama win, seven senate gains, and about 20 house seat gains so Aron there’s no need to think this guy is god.

Especially when Franken has challenged more votes than Coleman!

Walter Hanson
Minneapoolis, MN
Walter Hanson

By: Jeff Rosenberg

Jeff Rosenberg — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 18:32:31 +0000

Leroy, in fairness, sometimes the spam filter just doesn’t work, and you’re not at the computer to deal with it.

By: Swiftee

Swiftee — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 18:20:37 +0000

“…which without any warning, goes directly to pictures of naked women.”

Gee, that must have been horrible for you Leeroy! Better get yourself over to Cheeto boy’s hideout and purge that unpleasant visual memory in his vast picture catalog of male genitalia.

By: Leroy Jenkins

Leroy Jenkins — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 18:08:42 +0000

p.s. It is great that on a site that rails against the guy you call “Porn-o-Rama” that you allow posts like number 6 to remain, which without any warning, goes directly to pictures of naked women.

By: Leroy Jenkins

Leroy Jenkins — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 18:06:23 +0000

Q: Were his predictions accurate?
A: Yes.

It would be easier to discredit him if his numbers weren’t dead on, but they were. So, while you may enjoy rehashing a story you heard a week ago on Rush, no one believes that bias plays any role in his statistical analysis.

By: Jeff Rosenberg

Jeff Rosenberg — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:51:21 +0000

But hiram, there ARE major problems. The problem is that reality is in the tank for Barack Obama and Al Franken.

By: 538â€²S NATE SILVER: THE FOMER DAILY KOS CONTRIBUTOR #1

538â€²S NATE SILVER: THE FOMER DAILY KOS CONTRIBUTOR #1 — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:48:57 +0000

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By: hiram

hiram — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:38:55 +0000

What seems to me to be going on here is that people are searching to find problems in a process that seems to be going amazingly well.

By: Jeff Rosenberg

Jeff Rosenberg — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:32:14 +0000

Wow. That settles it. I’m now convinced Franken is going to win this thing. How else to explain the past month’s hysteria on this blog?

Of course, Michael is right: information based on hard data becomes irrelevant if its source has a documented political leaning. I can only assume he will next declare his own blog irrelevant.

By: justin

justin — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:26:19 +0000

What “developing story?” This is publicly available information that has been known by anyone paying attention for a while. Mr. Silver even discusses it from time to time.

He’s also been spot on in his predictions this cycle. Which are backed up by real fancy math. I guess statistical modeling has a liberal bias now too, huh?

By: Swiftee

Swiftee — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:16:09 +0000

Say Aaron? What’s Ashtray Madia up to these days?

HAHAHAaa!

By: Swiftee

Swiftee — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:10:57 +0000

That asshat received a new orafice when he tried to match wits recently with http://www.howobamagotelected.com/“>John Ziegler.

By: Aaron

Aaron — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 16:49:14 +0000

Michael B. Brodkorb tries to discredit NATE SILVER, the guy who was behind the most accurate predictions this election cycle. Awesome!!!

I can’t wait to read more information on your developing story! You’re a true maverick, Michael B. Brodkorb.